GBPUSD Long-Term Support (Sept 15, 2014)

Stochastic is starting to move up from the oversold zone, indicating that selling pressure is exhausted.

A rally could take GBPUSD back up to its previous highs near the 1.7200 major psychological level eventually. A weak bounce might last only until the areas of interest around 1.6500 and 1.6700.

On the other hand, another run in selling momentum could push GBPUSD to the next Fib level near the 1.6000 major psychological handle. Further declines below this support zone could lead to a test of the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which is near the 1.5700 major psychological support.

There are several event risks lined up for the UK economy this week, including the much-awaited Scottish independence vote. If Scotland is able to secure independence, the UK economy might be in for a bit of political and economic instability, which might lead to more pound weakness. Also due this week are the UK jobs and spending data, along with BOE minutes and inflation figures.

By Kate Curtis from Trader's Way