Forex Major Currencies Outlook (October 7, 2013)

EUR/USD pulled back to the 1.3600 support area while GBP/USD retreated to 1.6050. There were no reports released from the US then, as the US government shutdown meant that the NFP was not printed. For today, the US is set to print its consumer credit report and possibly show an increase. 

EUR

The euro gave up some of its recent profits to the dollar and the yen on Friday, yet it seems that EUR/USD and EUR/JPY are off to a good start this week. Data from the euro zone was weak last Friday, as Germany and euro zone printed weaker than expected PPI readings. For today, euro zone Sentix investor confidence and final GDP reading are up for release. No revisions are projected for the GDP report while the Sentix figure could see an increase from 6.5 to 10.9. 

GBP

The pound suffered a heavy selloff on Friday, as traders realized that the recent boom in the U.K. might not be sustained. The weak PMI readings from the manufacturing, construction, and services sector earlier in the week led traders to unwind most of their long pound positions. For today, there are no reports from the U.K. 

CHF
The franc lost some ground to the dollar on Friday but some suspect that this might just be a retracement. There were no reports released from Switzerland then and today has the foreign currency reserves report on tap. This report has been showing declines in the past months, which means that the SNB has been having an easier time keeping its franc peg. 

JPY

The yen continued its rallying ways on Friday, as the Japanese currency continued to benefit from risk aversion and positive sentiment for the Japanese economy. So far, no additional stimulus measures have been announced by either the government or the BOJ. The BOJ monthly report and leading indicators are up for release today and more positive figures could keep the yen afloat. 

Commodity Currencies (AUD, NZD, CAD)
The comdolls were shielded from the selloff last Friday, as the strength of the Australian, New Zealand, and Canadian economies helped keep their currencies afloat. Canada’s Ivey PMI came in below consensus but still printed an improvement from 51.0 to 51.9, reflecting stronger growth in the manufacturing industry. Canadian building permits and New Zealand NZIER business confidence data are up for release in the US session. 

By Kate Curtis from Trader's Way