Forex Major Currencies Outlook (Jan 28, 2015)

Data from the US was mixed, with the CB consumer confidence figure improving from 93.1 to 102.9 and new home sales data showing an increase from 431K to 481K. Durable goods orders were weaker than expected. The Fed is likely to repeat its previous statement in saying that interest rates might stay low for a “considerable time” and that they “can be patient” in considering policy normalization. Hawkish remarks could drive the dollar higher while dovish comments could lead to a selloff.

EUR

The euro continued to recover against its forex rivals, as traders are waiting to see what’s next for the region. There were no reports released from the euro zone then while today has the German GfK consumer climate figure due. The reading could improve from 9.0 to 9.2, which could keep the shared currency supported.

GBP

Despite the lower than expected GDP reading for the last quarter of 2014, the pound was able to benefit from the report since it still marked the strongest annual pace of economic growth for the UK since 2007. The economy grew 0.5% during the quarter, enough to bring the annual GDP to 2.6%, the fastest among major economies. There are no reports due from the UK today.

CHF

The franc recovered against some of its forex counterparts in recent trading after traders digested the news that the SNB may have staged a small intervention in the forex market. There have been no reports released then and none are due today.

JPY

The yen moved to the tune of risk sentiment and advanced to the dollar while giving up ground to the rest of the major currencies. There have been no reports released from Japan then and none are due today, indicating that the currency could continue to take its cue from sentiment and possibly from the FOMC statement’s impact on USDJPY.

Commodity Currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD)

The comdolls stalled from their recent drop, with the Australian dollar seeing some gains after the quarterly CPI release. The report showed a 0.2% uptick, a bit lower than the estimated 0.3% increase and the previous 0.5% gain. The RBNZ is set to make its policy statement in the next Asian trading session and traders might position ahead of a dovish announcement.

By Kate Curtis from Trader's Way