Forex Major Currencies Outlook (Sept 29, 2014)

The final GDP reading was revised from 4.2% to 4.6%, reflecting stronger growth in the previous quarter. Consumer sentiment and inflation expectations from the University of Michigan were unchanged. Core PCE price index and data on personal spending and income are up for release today, with improvements likely to push the dollar higher.

EUR

The euro edged lower on Friday, as the German GfK consumer climate index slipped from 8.6 to 8.3, lower than the estimate at 8.5. German import prices saw a 0.1% decline, lower than the projected 0.2% drop. German and Spanish preliminary CPI figures are due today and these could set the tone for the euro zone flash CPI estimates due later this week.

GBP 

The pound continued to decline against most of its counterparts on Friday, as there were no reports to give it a boost. For today, UK mortgage approvals and net lending to individuals data is due and strong figures could push the pound higher. Apart from these medium-tier data, the pound might simply rely on market sentiment for price direction.

CHF

The franc gave up ground to the dollar but continued to consolidate to the euro, as there were no reports out from Switzerland then. For now, the prospect of currency intervention from the SNB is keeping EURCHF afloat but speculations of further ECB easing could provide more volatility for the pair.

JPY

The yen weakened to the dollar as Japan released another round of bleak inflation figures last Friday. The national core CPI fell from 3.3% to 3.1% while the Tokyo core CPI dipped from 2.7% to 2.6%. More data from Japan are up for release this week and this could determine whether the economy is really recovering from the sales tax hike or not.

Commodity Currencies (AUD, NZD, CAD)

The comdolls gave up more ground to the dollar on Friday, led mostly by losses for the Kiwi. Earlier today, data from the RBNZ foreign currency holdings indicated that the central bank intervened in August. Prime Minister John Key even mentioned that he’d like to see NZDUSD trade around .6500. There are no other reports due from the comdoll economies today, which suggests that their currencies could move to the tune of risk sentiment.

By Kate Curtis from Trader's Way